Devastation of the Family Home

In the field of economics, one of the most difficult items to estimate is the ripple effect associated with major events that significantly affect the economic and social welfare of a community. The recent housing crash, for which our economy is still reeling from, is a classic example.

In my estimation, the entire response from our federal government was in error, as government intervention took the place of free market capitalism to create devastating economic consequences which continue to this very day.  While some may conclude the government was attempting to help in a time of "crisis", I am reminded of another of the timeless quotes from Ronald Reagan: "The most terrifying words in the English language are: I'm from the government and I'm here to help".

 

The housing crisis established a house of cards, pun intended, where lending institutions gave mortgages to anyone with a pulse, packaged the loans into mortgage backed securities and sold them as A rated to investors.  With the leverage unsustainable, bank failures emerged and the devastation began.

Rather than letting the market cleanse itself out, where those who invested in error or without proper due diligence, or both, paid the price, the government initiated bailouts of the major lending institutions. These government investments in the banking sector have come with a heavy price for the lending institutions, including appraisal regulation that has significantly impaired the industry.

The government now has an embedded regulatory mechanism within the banking sector, and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac continue to run inefficiency, with these government sponsored enterprises possibly needing more bailouts.  The housing market, although now seemingly stabilized and improving slightly in some markets, remains a shell out itself.

Home ownership is at historically low levels, in large measure to stagnant wage growth, with the worker actually losing ground annually. Many former homeowners are joining the millennials, where a majority unable to purchase a home are forced to rent, pushing rent levels to historic highs.

Much of the government interaction in the aftermath of the potentially orchestrated housing crash has limited free market principles, prohibiting the market from returning to optimal health.  Perhaps it is part of the war the progressives have on suburbs, maybe a vehicle in the transformation of wealth or quite possibly it is Orwellian in that gave the government an a prime opportunity to seize control over a large portion of the economy, and the citizenry.

Most in the economic world who embraces free market principles knew the path of quantitative easing and government interaction and control in markets was most problematic. While we await the next crash, which we forecast to come right around the presidential election, the devastation the crash has left on families across the nation is troubling and sad.

Many feel the great American dream is no longer obtainable.  Without question, if you have yet to obtain wealth, the degree of difficulty in achieving it has risen sharply under President Obama due to the infiltration of government regulation and taxation.

It seems 99 Homes may focus on the trial and tribulation of a family whose life was turned upside down at the drop of a hat as the housing crisis placed a stranglehold on the US economy back in 2008.

My professional activities, involving residential real estate appraisal, rental property management and as collateral risk analyst have given me a front row seat throughout.  When 99 Homes hits theaters, I will be there to grab a front row seat.